Category: Uncategorized

My New Conspiracy

During my weekend newspaper and magazine reading, I kept coming across references to politicial blogging and its new found effectiveness or perhaps just acknowledgement. KOS was referenced somewhere in the New York Times without much explanation of what he was. The latest issue of maissonneuve had an article called “A Blogger on Blogging” by Maud Newton. On top of that there was lots about the discourse generally, the presence of Pajamastan.

So if the pop culture is getting all substantive about blogs, sooner or later they will get co-opted, bought-out, sponsored. Sooner or later, someone will drop a bomb via a blog and it will turn out, like controversial medical research going against the grain, that BigCo was behind it all the time. The supposed independent voice will turnout to be coming from a cubicle in a farm of bloggers, all supported by wage or grant and a policy guide defining what must and must not be said.

Has this happened yet? How can I get in on it?

How Kerry Could Win

Here is a wicked thought. Kerry wins electoral college and loses the popular vote. Because the President is so heavily supported in many states but each state is won on a first past the post system, the extra extra votes are useless. They do not make him win anymore. Here is the percentage lead Bush holds in each of his top three states:

  • Texas (34 electoral votes) 21%
  • Florida (27 electoral votes) 5%
  • Georgia (15 electoral votes) 19%

If you look at the western plains, West of Iowa and east of the west coast states, many of the states are lead by Bush by over 20%. By comparison, Kerry will win the 55 electoral college votes in California by a lead of under 10% and the 31 of New York by just a little more.

Wouldn’t it be sweet of the White House were to be won by Kerry in the same way Bush won it?

Hey Parliament!

Don’t make me vote again this year. I heard Harper say that his agenda was “frankly supported by the majority of Canadians” even though he got 29% of the vote in June. Nothing has changed. If you make us vote for you before the Liberals have done anything, you will see 5 seats in Quebec go to the Liberals, you will see a couple in Ontario go to the Liberals, you will see a few percentage points move NDP from Green and that will likely put the NDP into the low twenty seat range and, pooff, there goes Harper’s dreams of power. From today’s Toronto Star:

The Liberals were huddling last night to assess whether the raft of proposed changes would amount to a fundamental rewriting of the Martin government’s blueprint for minority rule. The choice rests with this shaky minority government to reject the changes as a threat or accept them, in whole or in part, which would in effect allow opposition parties to have a hand in designing the governing plan. A throne speech has only been successfully changed by the opposition twice in the history of the Canadian Parliament; in 1899 and in 1951, and the changes in both cases were minimal.
The vote on the Bloc gambit takes place later today, and if Government House Leader Tony Valeri judges the proposed changes to be a sharp shift in the Liberals’ chosen path, the Commons will be in a mad scramble around 6 p.m. as the three-month old government tries to hold on to its precarious control of Parliament. A loss by the Liberals in this case would amount to collapse of the Martin’s barely-begun government.

Don’t make us vote again, Mssrs Tory and Separatist alliance. All that you have shown in the last three months is that you two, the Alberta and Quebec independentistas, have much in common and that is the thing that most Canadians will agree upon.