Certainty

I have always considered the desire to firmly fix the future – to seek certainty in the uncertain flux of what is to be – a sign of some sort of weakmindedness, hubris over the temporal. No wonder, then, that the news of the day, a cap on trade in lumber to the US and set dates for Federal elections has assured me once again that we now live in Simpleton.

The second is being proposed for reasons antithetical, to avoid early elections. Well, having had two Federal elections in the last two years and no one having lost an eye I simply do not see the reason. We started having maximum terms between votes to assure that we got a vote sooner or later. I like voting. If we voted more I would be happy as that is when I get to be involved in the process. Fixed election dates only stop idiots with perceived leads from getting the boot when they dare to go to the pools early. Serves them right. Leave me and my boot that pleasure.

First of all, why would we think that maxing out the amount that we can sell to anyone? We are a nation of exporters of raw goods, all vanities otherwise aside. What good comes of shutting down a resource market to get a payback of what was improperly taken by a buyer? We aren’t needy. Especially as this country is experiencing a sustained economic boom despite the unfair imposition of that duty. Especially when the amount we are to receive is about half to be blown on the beer and popcorn money. Chicken feed in the big picture. It would seem that economically we are able to deal from a position of strength as a nation but the new negotiators weren’t told.

There. Believe it or not, I lack faith in the new mid-minor masters based on the evidence of their deeds. Who’d believe it? Sooner or later I will put that second string on the banjo…I suppose.

Update: Hey, they listened to the complaints. That’s good.

The Politics Of Science

Let the re-engineering of knowledge begin!

The new Conservative government has decided to slash spending on Environment Canada programs designed to fight global warming by 80 per cent, and wants cuts of 40 per cent in the budgets devoted to climate change at other ministries, according to cabinet documents obtained by The Globe and Mail. The documents also say that the Conservatives’ campaign promise of tax breaks for transit passes would cost up to $2-billion over five years, but would result in an insignificant cut in greenhouse-gas emissions because the incentives are expected to spur only a small increase in the number of people willing to trade using cars for buses and subways.

Interesting to note that, like the baby bonus toddler luxury cash grab, the bus pass money will cost a lot and do little. This seems to be a theme with Harper: cut and spend in reaction to assumptions rather than statistical studies or actual science. Now don’t get me wrong – every program aimed at a goal does not necesarily represent the best or even a good means to achieve that goal.

But our new rural overlords do not seem to be operating on that basis either. It’s all coffee clatch science: “I’ve heard the Smiths believe in evolution…how could we come from monkeys?…that must be wrong ’cause monekys are smelly…evolution is a lie.” Try it with global warming, finance policy or anything else. It’s like putting on 3D glasses when no one told you the movie was in 3D, you just thought what you were watching was fuzzy for no apparent reason.  The knee jerks instinctively.

Reality Of A Sort

It’s nice to see compromise and a move from election platforms two days into the new Parliament. Why, soon it will be as if what is actualy policy was what was promised all along. Most pleasing is reading that the child care plan wasn’t really te child care plan and that the new plan is actually going to be something in the nature of a plan for the care of children and not just a partisan money toss:

Opposition Leader Bill Graham challenged Harper yesterday to reinstate the five-year, $5 billion program, citing an interview Human Resources Minister Diane Finley gave to the Toronto Star. Finley acknowledged tax credits, such as those the Tories promised in the campaign, haven’t stimulated an expansion of daycare spaces in the past, and said the government is now looking at “other incentives” and alternatives to the tax system to do so. “The minister responsible admitted … such tax credits fail to create child-care spaces,” Graham said. “Will the Prime Minister now admit he is wrong, or does he plan to push ahead with a plan that his own minister admits will not work?” Harper said his government will be “flexible” on how it puts together its $10.7 billion program on child care but provided no more detail.

After the interesting and important debate on Afghanistan last night – in which all parties represented their positions forcefully but, yes, the debate one that the new Prime Minister was never going to allow – it will be good to watch where we are actually going on many matters now. Too early to talk of flip-floppery and, in any event, this is a weak situation which mainly allows for sensible compromises if you let it.

This Friday’s Friday Chat

What kind of week was it? It was hopefully the last glimpse of a skim of
snow. It has been a fairly optimistic week otherwise with lots of contact with
old friends over the internet, planning a summer reunion in Halifax at the end
of July. But what else has the internet done for me lately?

  • Update#2: Just remembered that I forgot to remember to post about hearing Perry F. Rockwood on “The People’s Gospel Hour” this week on 1170 AM WWVA Wheeling, West Virginia while I was hunting for baseball. It is a Nova Scotia produced radio evangelical program seemngly on every station everywhere on the Maritime Canadian AM dial when I was a kid. I thought I had blogged posted before the soft spot I have for Perry’s voice and his pronunciation of “Boston, Massachusetts” at the end of every broadcast but I cannot find that reference via a search. So much for the internet. Good news! Perry is 88 and going strong.
  • Update: Iggy
    might get me to vote Liberal for the first time ever.

  • Mr. Harper is having a first brush with reality, needing now to debate the
    Afghanistan
    mission, having to pull back a
    contract to an insider
    on accountability policy of all things and generally
    having to put a decade worth of puffery to the test. He is doing reasonably well
    but any claims to sightings the second coming of anyone’s Messiah are
    pre-mature. His tendency to secrecy and making up reasons for the things he does
    out of the air are going to get to be as annoying as his love of junior
    micro-management. He is not the only clever guy in the sandbox but at least he
    is a change and a keener. There is much good in hiring a keener.

  • It’s been a hard week for the creationists and Biblical literalists among
    you so there will be a round on the progressive faithful at happy hour today –
    soda pops for thems that want them, the good stuff for thems that need it.
    First, a
    transitional fossil
    has been found linking our fishy forefathers to our
    monkey-like ones. I’ve never had a big problem with the scaley and tail-y past
    we share and suspect God has a good giggle at the trashing about people do to
    figure out what is what. I think reference to The Book of Job is
    instructive wherein the Creator took one of us aside and said “Huh? You think I
    tell you all the good stuff?” Then there was the
    Book of Judas
    finding. Seeing as the Deas Sea scrolls were found in some guy’s tinder pile as
    he was stoking the flames of another fire under the bubbling stew pot for his
    family ‘s dinner, it should come as no surprise that there are loads of
    alternate versions out there. So raise a glass in commisseration for the
    fundamentalists whose fundamentals got a little shifty this week. Pray hoist ye,
    bruvvers and sistahs!

  • Has anyone started podcasting lately? I am feeling more and more that as
    bloggy text is actually solidifying as a hobby, podcasts are going the way of
    ham radio – nerdy and little understood. But it is not in the nature of the web
    to analyze what it likes to call its lesser successes. What people may be
    realizing is simply the difference in effort required to control text as opposed
    to sound. And podcasting needs a public success. After all, all of bloggy
    legitimacy has centered on one event, the great whoop-tee-doo of the firing of
    Dan Rather. Podcasting needs its similar Jimmy’s-in-the-well moment. It has yet
    to come.

  • Finally, I know someone who has had a windfall. I won’t tell you who or what
    but it was a surprising sign of my late-arriving semi-maturity that I did not
    curse my lack of such luck. Maybe it is the return of baseball, the passing out
    of winter or the general state of good tidings that have been surrounding me and
    mine far and wide but there was none of the usual gnashing gut churning
    why-does-this-never-happen-to-me stuff. Why is that? Am I losing my
    touch?

Well that is it for today. Let us gather and chat about things
we really do not understand fully and allow the glory of the medium give us
credence far beyond the quality of our thoughts.

Unfamiliar But Familiar

I am actually apolitical. Sort of. I think for the most part most politicians are good people working hard, the whole thing about Tory financial planning capacity aside. I also pretty much think that it is a difficult thing to translate the experience of people in another country and try to align it with what is going on here. The detailed ground rules are too important but practically speaking unknowable. I may be happy to watch the UK’s Question Period from Westminster on CPAC for the spectacle in lucid wit but we don’t really understand the context. Yet there is more than a moments entertainment for me when reading what Ian writes in his fuming foaming moments:

…you all got what you wanted, and in the eyes of progressives, you got what you deserved. Now your President has an approval rating of 37%, even in the usually-more-conservative Time Magazine poll. Roughly translated from the 2004 election returns, that means 14.2 MILLION people who voted for Bush now disapprove of him. Well, fourteen-point-two-million, you have nobody but yourselves to blame, you pathetic boobs.

Yes, I called you “pathetic boobs”. You deserve it. You left us with this guy and only now bother to show righteous indignation? You make me sick. You had access to the same information as the rest of us. At least real conservatives stick by their guns, but you’re the worst kind of pusillanimous, wobbling imbeciles. I hope your stomach lining eats away what’s left of your digestive tract.

Oh my. When I read or hear commentary like that I am really happy that I live in a country with more than two parties. I think that the greater complexity of us versus them helps focus on actual policy more than platform, on action more than words. So it is not without some hope that I watch this week’s return of the minority in different form to Ottawa. If you think about it, the nation has been locked in a set of facts that have been around compared to where we were about 1990 with Chretien and Martin fighting for the Liberal leadership and Reform was well on its way on its share of the plan to break up the then somewhat squalid conservative movement with the NDP and Bloq holding their own but not breaking away. Now, in a reversal of fortunes, we have conservatives actually being the ones saying they are going to clean up government and a bunch of the untested are competing for the Liberal leadership, all the while the NDP support solidifying under a more acceptable platform and leadership than has existed for decades and the Bloq actually starting to wobble as the old guard get older. In one way this is a new start but in another it will be less than a change as the ideas being shuffled are largely the same and, mortality being what it is, it is all downhill from here.

Friday + Bullet Points = Chat

That is the magic formula, the secret to all idle thought and a crushing blow to economic production. Even though this is the shortest weekend of the year, it is still worth anticipation and therefore chattery:

  • British Columbia is passing an Apology Act. Here is the text in first reading. It is a little wee law that basically says you can say you are sorry for something without that being used against you. It does not mean that you are excused for the thing you are apologizing for but it does also mean the apology in itself does not serve as a GOTCHA! sort of thing. It is an interesting idea as ultimately there is no real barrier to legal action and, frankly, if you do apologize you are still highlighting that there may be a case to be brought against you if someone were to investigate further. But it speaks to civility and also levels the community so that, say, a professional who has done something they are not comfortable with but which is within the realm of normal non-perfection can actually say “Oops” or maybe something even kinder.

  • It’s been a rather adult week around here between applying for a mortgage and growning out my sideburns. I am under orders on the latter point. The trouble is I do not have the most robust near-ear fuzz and what is there is snowy white as is my whole beard now. That is why I shave – to look more 37 rather than 57. But apparently the suggestioning of a mini-moutasche near each of my temples is an important fashion statement so on I go.

  • Speaking of manliness…am I the only one who is noting our new Prime Minister is getting rather large rather quickly? As a fellow traveller in this regard, it concerns. Heaviness especially at pace is not necessarily good for you. I know, I know…but some people actually are saying so. Here is my evidence over time. He has even taken to wearing gut covering vests when he is in the stinking hot jungle while the guys from Texas and Mexico wear thin searsucker. I don’t expect he is a devotee of the beery world so what is he up to? Is he a secret pastries man? A two litre a day of Coke guy? What does a nerdy policy wonk do to get out of shape this fast? But if he wants to do it well, he really should get in touch with me. Two words: boston chocolate.  Again, the man needs my help.

  • Oh, yes. I went on a cable TV splurge just to check it out. Last year, I signed up for a movies/super-station package and got the Friday night Red Sox game. OK, I signed up for the Friday night Red Sox game and happened to get a movies/super-station package. But then the Super station lost the Friday night game rights. What to do? Well, dump the uber-transmissions and get the sports. 1600 baseball games. Seven bucks more. But what about the east coast stations? Nothing like watching Carl Wells on CBC Newfoundland tell about how the Burin is getting battered by storms again this week. One day I fully expect him to have a panicked look mid-hurricane and turn to the camera screaming “SWEET JESUS IN THE MANGER! WE’VE LOST FOGO!!!”. So that’s another seven. Then for another four bucks or so they guy on the phone said – I clearly heard him say this – “we can turn the tap on full.” Best value, too, said he. So now we have 247 channels. Including One, the channel so generically named you can’t find it on Google unless you use the counter-intuitive long form of the name: One – the Body, Mind & Spirit channel. My leafy green consumable and skin balm awareness is expanding as I sit here. I know it is.

Chat a la Friday

Once again it is the day before Saturday. It has been a good week around
here. No rocking out or anything but spring sprang and, really, that is half the
battle of the entire calendar:

  • Update: It must be a requirement that you can prove that you have
    been hit on the temple with a hammer recently to get to be a conservative
    columnist. It has to be. Look at Andrew
    Coyne’s shell game
    in his column today:

    Of course, part of the reason the provinces are so
    loose with the coin is the benefactions of Uncle Ottawa, which Ontario and
    Quebec in particular have proved adept at squeezing in all the right places. The
    McGuinty government, which made the fictional “$23-billion gap” its war cry,
    quietly pocketed over $13.2-billion in federal cash last year, a 34% increase
    from just two years ago. Quebec, likewise, enjoyed an 8% increase in the last
    fiscal year.

    It is not surprising, given the fine fiscal
    understanding behind Tory-nomics, that he would not get the difference between
    gross and net in his stunning analysis of Ontario’s position but equating Saudi
    Albertia and Quebec as co-horts in economic solidity it dumbfounding. Compared
    to this, David Frum comes across as
    lucid.

  • Update: “…an eccentric old uncle who’s ignored…” Discuss.

  • Update: pause a moment for the
    250 year old tortoise
    that passed away in India. Born around 1755.

  • The Flea has posted a link to the best hoax
    (unless the turtle story turns out to be one) that I have ever seen on the
    internet. I am a huge sucker and the use of a gesticulating professor was a
    brilliant diversion.

  • I was thinking about the bleating cry of the Boing Boing the other day when I read yet
    another rant about how the law of ownership should be amended because people
    have figured out a better way to steal…when it occurred to me that I have
    never seen a fair trade argument in relation to Digital Rights Management. How
    is it that we are so concerned about Juan Valdez and rightly seek out better
    coffee and other goods which are sold with fewer dollars going to the middle man
    and more to Juan but we do not use the same model for Juanita, his guitar
    playing cousin? Maybe because we would steal all Juan’s coffee if we could?

  • I gleefully watched LSU
    beat Duke
    last night but realized quickly that no one in the pool
    saw the
    loss
    coming so no one gets the big points on question #1. I hearby declare
    after 5837 have declared it before me that Glen “Big Baby” Davis is the new
    Shaq. I remember the, what, 1989 LSU March Madness and the side of beef that did
    ballet called Shaquille O’Neal. It was deja vu all over again.

  • Was Stevie always this chubby
    or has someone done this
    to him?

Hello Computer

Which is worse during bachelor week? Talking to the cats or the computer. At
least the computer does not run away when it sees you. But being cats they make
you do things through the power of staring…like making you think it is Friday
and making you want to post stories in bullet format.

  • Update: this
    story on NCPR
    on the difference between Iraq and Afghanistan from the point
    of view of a US solder was very interesting.

  • As a public service announcement, this Thursdsay’s rocking out with brothers
    at the Queen concert in Toronto will likely pre-empt Friday chat-fest. It is an
    odd thing going to Queen in a way as for years I entirely rejected the band but,
    in 1986 when working in Holland in a wholesale cut flower packing auction house,
    I heard a top 100 of all time and #1 was Bohemian Rhapsody. This was
    pre-Wayne’s World but it was my first experience of the post-punk
    restoration of Freddy and the lads to classic rock status. Question: ought I buy
    a lighter for waving at certain moments? I know I have to buy ear plugs. I like
    the music but I sure don’t like the racket.
  • You know, Ian is a daily read but – even after years – the other worldliness
    of his experience sometimes strikes me. Today he recounts the dramatic passing
    of an ’80s game show host.

  • I think Hans is going to win the NCAA pool even though there is a whole day
    to get the picks in. Why? I am simple stunned at anyone actually taking the time
    to think about these pool questions. Ooops. I just realized I forgot the cricket
    bonus points. Maybe 25 points for a short compare and contrast essay on the
    relative impact of cricket on the West Indies and Gerry McNamara on Syracuse.
    While Deadspin has an incredible amount of detail on the NCAA first round, I don’t think you will
    find a cheat sheet on that particular question.

  • There is something goofy about PM Steven Harper that I am starting to like.
    True, he is sort of pudgy and mid-40-ish like me but there is that smile of a
    ten year old with a new box full of Hot Wheels cars that seems to be without
    pretense. I think his trip
    to Afghanistan
    was a very good idea and while it is not the sort of thing
    that is going to sway my vote on this one point I am much more with him than
    Jack!, though I do admire the moustacheoed one for sticking to unpopular stances
    against
    the flow
    when an easier path is available.

  • The Commonwealth
    Games
    are starting soon. Who knew? I still hold the hope of taking off as a
    lawn bowler in about ten years to take Gold for Canada in 2030, singing the
    national anthem teary eyed in natty white slacks.

Well there you go.
The cats are staring at me so I now have to make some changes to my bank
accounts. I must. Then, I am off to buy new larger cat carriers. Cat treats,
too. I obey.

Sullying

Graceless politicization appears to be the flavour of the day in the new PMO:

“The Prime Minister is loath to co-operate with an individual whose decision-making ability has been questioned and who has been found in contempt of the House,” said Sandra Buckler, a spokeswoman for Mr. Harper. “All this really is, is a partisan complaint and a political dispute.”

Get ready for it. Any bureaucrat now may be a “liberal” therefore a lesser species in the eyes of the rural overlords. Morality over process. Despite the question of the propriety of offering benefits and plums – plums– like cabinet posts to party defectors undermining the House of Commons, unlike the similar review during the Gruwal matter when the Liberals were the potential bad guys. Sure the new PM intents to line in a different world one day but in the meantime you shouldn’t get to pick your rules. The most charming bit of hair splittery was mentioned on the CBC last night when apparently the PMO suggested that there is no Parliament at the moment so there was not jurisdiction for an ethical inquiry…therefore no ethical standards at all. Sweet.

Child Care Math

I am still trying to figure out the Harper plan for child care and, without getting political just now, just want to make sure I have the math right. So this is what I understand today:

32,805,041 Canadians
2,057,848 Canadians 5 and under
6.27% of Canadian population is under six and eligible
There are roughly 116,000 people in Kingston
6.27% x 116,000 = 7,273 people in Kingston 5 and under
7,273 x 1,200 per year per child 5 and under = $8,607,600 per year

Is that right? I keep doing the math and it seems to be. While I do understand (though do not agree with) the policy of stopping public child care expansion, the new evil for our new rural overlords’ social theorists, but I do not understand doing so at a cost of around 400% the cost of that increased public child care, as this morning’s Whig-Standard illustrates for Kingston:

Under the scheme, Kingston and Frontenac County were to get millions annually in federal money to create new child care spaces, improve services in schools and provide more early intervention programs for children in need. The city has the first-year funding, $2.32 million, in the bank, but has not yet spent any of the cash. We’ve got the money and we’re not giving it back,” Lance Thurston, Kingston’s commissioner of community development services, said in an interview yesterday. Thurston said the outgoing Liberal administration knew that a policy shift might come after the election, so they passed on the cash some time ago.

So if the Federal Government’s plan costs four times as much and takes away the realistic ability to provide more child care spaces – what does it actually provide? It doesn’t create a level playing field as the people that don’t need it still don’t get it – only those that do need it lose. In return every little kid gets some money in pocket that will not add up to child care or any thing else other than 25 bucks more a week for groceries for toddlers. Was there a suffering in the nation? Was there a mischief to be corrected through increasing spending 400%? Did every toddler need 25 bucks more? How is this not like a promise of free mustard for all when some people need food? Keep you danged mustard. Any why should I pay for the mustard of others through my tax dollars anyway? Let folks buy their own mustard. Except if you can’t afford mustard. But our new rural overlords do not like that idea so much. Prairie mustard farmers vote conservative for the most part.

So please correct me if you can but I still just don’t get this at all. And saying Tory bad or Liberal bad is not helping anything.